India’s coronavirus cases may peak between May 3-5, according to a mathematical model of a team of government-advising scientists, a few days earlier than previous estimates as the virus spreads faster. Than expected
The world̵7;s second-most populous country reported more than 300,000 new infections per day for nine consecutive days, beating a further 386,452 worldwide on Friday.
The trend led to a public health crisis in India, forcing governments to seek oxygen, drugs and other necessities from countries around the world. Read more about studying in Pakistan
“Our belief is that, within next week, new daily cases across the country will reach their peak,” M. Vidyasagar, chief scientist group appointed by the government for modeling the pathway of the infection, told Reuters.
The group previously told senior government officials in a presentation on April 2 that cases would take place between May 5-10, Vidyasagar said.
“We said (in that presentation) that it was not a matter of structuring something to happen in July or August, because after that the waves would end,” he said.
“Think about how we’re going to fight in the next four to six weeks, that’s the message. Don’t waste a lot of time solving long-term problems, your problem is now.”
India’s first outbreak peaked in mid-September with 97,894 cases.The country now reports more than three times the number of infections per day, with a total number of cases of 18.8 million, with 208,000 deaths.
Vidyasagar said the true number of infections is 50 times greater, as many of the people who contract the disease show no symptoms.
Our Standard: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principle.