Despite hope in the United States, where the situation is likely to improve much in the summer and during the fall, we normally won’t be able to be struck by the light at the end of the epidemic tunnel. The Indian tide is a reminder that the virus is learning and adapting to us faster than we are learning and adapting to it. Outbreaks are more serious than ever before and caused by diversity, the risk is constantly increasing. If we get the right answers, we can save more than a million lives in the next year.
Exciting scientific progress has resulted in the rapid development of a COVID vaccine that is more effective than many experts had hoped for. But even if Israel, the United Kingdom, and soon the United States are entering a new reality with a largely vaccine-tamed virus, it is not. But immunizations around the world have been greatly delayed. Even in the best of circumstances, the vaccine takes several months to control the virus. And we are far from the best of circumstances.
A global vaccine will not break the short-term curve, even if there is enough, there is not enough vaccine in most countries, and particularly low-income countries lack adequate vaccines. Viruses and strains are gathering strength and speed. Global cooperation is essential if we are to win the ongoing war against COVID.
It took weeks, months to launch the vaccine and put it in the bosom of people enough to make a difference. Then it will take several weeks before protection can fully begin.The vaccine cannot help people if they already have a COVID infection, and it may not help much if it is received after exposure to the virus. This is why we have to keep protecting people until they are vaccinated.
Epidemic is one of the world’s most important problems. We should follow Our vaccine infrastructure cannot be relied upon to meet the needs of the world. Even if there is enough vaccine at the moment that does not yet have a vaccine, it may slow down. But it will not stop the spread of the virus. Countries with oversupply can cause problems. But vaccine production needs to be greatly accelerated to meet demand. Until more vaccines are available, continued masking and spacing and reducing travel are all important.
Rosy estimates that there will be enough vaccines in 2021 to be encouraging, but companies miss 96 percent of the 2020 production forecast and overall production remains at the projected level of just a quarter of demand. Only in 2021, booster volumes, safety signals and production delays are real risks. We cannot bet on life and the world’s recovery from uncertain vaccines and uncertain production.
All vaccines that have been proven to be effective need to be dose-adjusted as quickly as possible.Novavax, J&J, AstraZeneca and other vaccines are all important, but mRNA vaccines are the most promising. It can scale up faster and it is safer and more efficient. Transportation and handling are becoming easier as problems in maintaining the required supercold temperature are being solved.
The mRNA vaccine is our best hope of ending the epidemic – our insurance policy against the different forms, the need for possible stimulation and production delays with other vaccines – but the ability to Nowhere near the demand. Technology transfer and increasing global production, especially the mRNA vaccine, are the most important steps that Biden administration can take to help end the COVID epidemic. US taxpayers fund the Moderna vaccine.Not sharing this technology puts us at risk if more dangerous variables arise.
The regional mRNA production hub is critical to providing the best vaccine on a global scale. This will take longer than we need to, which is why we need to start now. India, South Korea, Singapore, Brazil and other Latin American countries, South Africa, Senegal and Rwanda all have the potential to build vaccine capacities and become global vaccine providers. Candidates for the CureVac mRNA vaccine, now in a Phase III clinical trial, may be another resource for expanding production.
The dangerous B.1.1.7 variant continues to march remarkably across the United States and now accounts for more than half of the new cases rated in this country. Even more than half of our adult population are fully vaccinated. But we still face epidemic risks, and unvaccinated people, including young people, are at risk of serious viral infection.
During 1918, an epidemic in many places, the second wave, was more serious than the first. I am concerned that around the world we are now at the most dangerous stage of this outbreak. Covid is becoming more dangerous and contagious.The virus is spreading at higher levels in more places, and after more than a year of disruption in our lives, human fatigue is on the rise.
Globally, 1.8 million deaths from COVID are reported in 2020, today the number of deaths will be higher in 2021, but this is not inevitable. The pandemic is not a natural disaster. We have shown that we can control COVID. The species is still the largest wildcard. But we’ve learned a lot about viruses and how to limit their effects.
Effective preventive measures and effective actions could save at least a million lives this year. Now we need to take these six steps to deal with bombs spreading around the world.
1.Protect health care and health care workers
2. Face mask
3.Keep a distance to avoid spreading too much.
4.Continue to perform essential services including schools
5. Get vaccinated, especially for health care workers and the elderly.
6. Learn and adapt
For all six of these, we need a focused, well-organized and accountable approach. We must protect, take care of our health and caregivers better. Doing so will save lives from COVID and from other diseases that become life-threatening when care is disturbed. Controlling COVID will save lives from COVID and many other diseases.
It is possible to overcome infectious diseases. These success stories against past plagues have given me hope. If we work together across borders to fight COVID and invest in preparedness, we can save millions of lives. Covid represents the cost of failure. But a safe and healthy future is possible. It’s up to us to make it happen.