Home / Health / Downfall of COVID offers hope for countries plagued by deadly diseases.

Downfall of COVID offers hope for countries plagued by deadly diseases.



The virus that causes COVID-19 is starting to diminish in the United States only slightly.

As experts predicted, the outbreak used fewer light switches than dimmers spinning around in the country’s pockets. It seemed at one time that the country’s epidemic epidemic was turning in the right direction.

“I think we can confidently say that the worst is behind us without some unbelievable variables that no one expected to see,” said Dr. Ashish K. Jha, Dean of the Faculty. Public Health Sciences at Brown University.

MORE: COVID Burden Shifts To Younger Americans Getting Older Vaccines

“We are not going to see the suffering and death we have seen during the holidays. I think we are in much better shape,”

; Jha told ABC’s “Good Morning America” ​​on Friday.

More than half of the countries – 26 states – reported lower patient numbers last week, with 18 percent lower in new cases, also lower mortality and hospitalizations. Even Michigan, this spring’s U.S. hotspot, saw a drop of more than 36 percent of average daily cases, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

“We think this has to do with increasing vaccinations, more people are cautious, and I’m therefore cautiously optimistic that we are changing angles,” CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky told GMA this week.

FILE PHOTO: Florida State Fair 2021 visitors are awarded concessions and vendors on the opening day of April 22, 2021 at the Florida State Fairgrounds in Tampa, FL (Douglas R. Cliford / Tampa Bay Times via ZUMA Wire).

FILE PHOTO: Florida State Fair 2021 visitors are awarded concessions and vendors on the opening day of April 22, 2021 at the Florida State Fairgrounds in Tampa, FL (Douglas R. Cliford / Tampa Bay Times via ZUMA Wire).

The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, which runs its own weekly forecast, calls it “There is clear evidence that transmission has decreased” and predicts that the trend will continue.

“Most improvements can be linked to higher vaccination rates among young and middle-aged adults,” the hospital’s PolicyLab concludes this week.

More: Chicago Will Launch ‘Vax Pass’ So Vaccines Can Attend Summer Concerts

That careful optimism comes with a big warning. Health experts estimate that nearly 100 million Americans who are fully vaccinated are not enough to destroy the outbreak. While it accounts for about 30 percent of the population, about 70-85 percent of the country must be protected in order for “herd immunity” to be effective. Past viral infections may not be counted because they are not known how long immunity has lasted. where

In Oregon, for example, officials warned that there was a double increase in sickness and hospital admissions over the past two weeks, a trend driven by residents. At a younger age who were not vaccinated

Additionally, while the US situation improves, the global situation remains unclear. India is in dire and health systems collapsing in a massive outbreak this spring.Other countries are also trying to prevent outbreaks, making it more likely that the virus will spread without checking for new strains. Rise

MORE: ‘Completely Falling’ of Preventive Health: How India’s 2nd COVID Wave Exploded

“This could happen in many countries, whatever the country, if we give up, I’m not saying India has given up on its defense. But I’m saying we are in a fragile situation, ”said Dr. Marla Van Kerkhove, WHO’s technical head for COVID-19, at a press conference this week.

FILE PHOTO: Guests walk through Hogwarts Castle within the grounds of The Wizarding World of Harry Potter on the re-opening of Universal Studios Hollywood during the COVID-19 outbreak in Universal City, California, April 15, 2021. Mario Anzuoni / Reuters)

FILE PHOTO: Guests walk through Hogwarts Castle within the grounds of The Wizarding World of Harry Potter on the re-opening of Universal Studios Hollywood during the COVID-19 outbreak in Universal City, California, April 15, 2021. Mario Anzuoni / Reuters)

So far, the vaccine offered in the United States is believed to provide protection against strains around the world. But the worst-case scenario, health experts say, is that new strains will develop overseas, which are smarter at evading the immune system by chipping to vaccine protection.

In other words, it is likely that a smaller version of the pandemic will drag on for months in the Whack-a-Mole game, communities with higher vaccination rates will be more free from the virus, while the areas where More reluctance may fight the spread. If the global species arrives, just as the return journey is certain, the United States will scramble to deliver the booster.

Still, despite warnings that the outbreak is not over. But the signs of life are coming back. Louisiana held a state event Thursday after canceling last fall and promising to hold a second festival in the fall. California’s Disneyland reopens on Friday and the water park is planning to reopen this summer after it disappeared last year.

Perhaps the greatest sign of life back in the US is the announcement that New York City will reopen on July 1, with big Broadway productions expected to take place in the season. This fall

“This will be the summer for New York City,” Mayor Bill de Blasio made a triumphant announcement this week. “I think people will flock to New York City because they want to live again.”

More: The CDC says vaccinated people can leave their masks outdoors in many cases.

Other local officials are ready to announce the outbreak, although there are around 50,000 cases per day in the country.

“The widespread vaccine will change everything and be a new season in Tennessee,” said Tennessee Governor Bill Lee. “I am not renewing any public health orders because COVID-19 is no longer a health emergency in our state.”

Walensky told reporters on Friday there was still a need for slow progress.

“This virus has fooled us before, so I wanted to look and see what it was like before doing further assessments of what happened in the next few months,” she said.

ABC News’ Matthew Vann, Arielle Mitropoulos and Cheyenne Haslett contributed to this report.

‘The worst is behind us’: COVID is declining, giving hope to the plague-stricken country appears on abcnews.go.com


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