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Is the cold front moving into Denver’s hot real estate market?

Metro Denver’s housing market has changed in recent weeks. which is no different from the cold that has ended the unprecedented heat And it could be a huge relief for buyers if it continues. as specified by the local real estate agent

Bret Weinstein, founder and CEO of BSW Real Estate in Denver, said: “The market has started moving in the last few weeks. And most of the agents were very noticeable over the past seven days. “There is definitely a change in the market.”

While the popular show may have attracted over a hundred shows and 15 to 20 serious deals earlier this year, even “great real estate at an affordable price” might now see 30 to 40 showings and deals. Three to four offers, Weinstein said.

True, at any point before the pandemic That will still represent a strong seller market. But for shoppers who are tired of making offers after deals and losses. Any kind of mitigation will increase their chances of getting a home.


7;s still a very tough market for buyers — it’s a tough market,” said Brady Miller, CEO of Trelora in Denver. “In the past two weeks We saw some signs of relief. We don’t see 12 to 15 deals. There are more homes on the market and prices are adjusting.”

The slowdown wasn’t just in Denver. ShowingTime, which manages show schedules for more than 1.5 million active listings, saw a significant drop in show activity in May. Compared to April in 28 of the 30 following cities including Denver.

Daniil Cherkasskiy, ShowingTime’s head of analytics, said: But we are seeing a huge month-to-month drop from April levels.” “As we said last month, Although the demand began to decline But we are far from the buyer’s market as real estate demand remains at unprecedented levels.”

Show of the Week in Colorado which increased by 50% plus clips in April Compared to the first week of January almost flat in late May They rebounded in June. But the rate of increase is only about 20%. A fraction of the typical increase in June is shown during January, according to ShowingTime.

Buyers should begin to notice a wider range of home options to choose from and the ability to view the property more than once before deciding whether to make an offer. And they will be less competitive when it comes to making offers.

“In the past two weeks We saw 3,600 new homes on the market. This is the biggest increase in supply since the epidemic,” Miller said.

But he acknowledged that the number of new listings wasn’t as much of an issue in the past year as the absorption rate or share of claimed listings. By the end of April this year, 95% of the new listings were absorbed, which Miller said was “very high” compared to the usual 60% to 70% absorption rate.

Absorption rates have dropped to 84% in May and are tracking closer to 74% in June, which Miller calls much more reasonable.

Weinstein said the big markets seemed unaware of the change. As all three home offerings could be as strong as the 15 to 20 built earlier this year. Habitual fear or despair Still unnecessarily bid on houses to impersonating competitors.

“Right now we are seeing the best deals winning $20,000 to $30,000, assuming there are other offers. at a higher price point than that. But in reality, no,” Weinstein said.

Another sign the market is moderating is that lower valuations are coming back below the prices agreed by sellers and buyers, says Nicole Rueth, branch manager for The Rueth team at Fairway Independent Mortage Corp. in Anglesey. said Wood

When a buyer is willing to bid above the list price. Appraisers may have difficulty determining the right home value. This will make it more difficult to approve a home loan.

About two months ago, 27 percent of Colorado’s estimates were low, Rueth said. Appraisal share fell close to 10%.

in general June will be the strongest month for home sales. And the price hike could reach its peak during the 4th of July holiday or later. So what explains the Denver market losing steam in May?

For some, the urge to socialize and travel after easing restrictions can distract from house hunting. Weinstein and others argued.

Wells Fargo senior economist Mark Vitner added that as more employers are calling workers back to the office, The allure of falling into Denver to work remotely or buy a second home in a Colorado resort town may fade.

“People are now thinking of returning to work. We don’t see more people moving from the west coast,” he said.

Vitner and others argue that affordability has become a barrier to the housing market after sharp price increases eliminated the advantage that mortgage rates dropped last year in terms of payments. lower money

“You can’t have a 20% increase in price per year. Those price increases are not sustainable. Income doesn’t grow near that point and interest rates won’t drop. Affordability is a real challenge in many parts of the country,” he said.

And Metro Denver’s frantic market could set more potential buyers on fire.

“I think what drives the price down is the high price lag. Disappointed buyers and their brokers are giving up,” Your Castle Real Estate broker Tom LaRocque said about the decline in exhibits which he began to notice in the second half of May.

Other pauses In the market over the past year it has proven to be temporary. And it’s very possible that buyers will return to the game again. which makes things It’s hot again in August or later. But if the number of existing houses began to increase The trend may have legs.

A Homes.com survey found that about one in five potential sellers claimed that the homes they would buy had little left over. It’s the main reason they postpone their real estate listing, shy of just 22% who said their home wasn’t ready to go to market or that they were waiting for a better time to uproot their family. While one in ten was waiting for the pandemic to go out.

in theory A calmer market can make potential sellers more willing to list their homes. to increase inventory The tendency can reinforce itself. But it won’t take long for the market to warm up again. due to low supply

“Remember, we have about 2,000 homes on the market, we only need 10,000 buyers in a city of 3 million people to have five buyers for one home,” Weinstein said. “But for now… the shift is open. For sellers who think the market will continue to go up, that is not the case.”

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