He’s a London Tef, not so much. At least when it comes to court.
Donald Trump, who is no longer defended by the president’s claims of protection. Faced with increasingly serious legal problems In some of the most prestigious US courts including criminal investigations and civil proceedings.
So even if Trump maintains power in the Republican Party and mocks his ambitions to run for president again in 2024, his legal woe could render all debates meaningless: Trump̵7;s future. May be in the courtroom not oval office
Trump “may be criminally charged for activities that took place before he became president. After he was president and while he was president As long as they are not part of his duties while he is President of the United States,” said attorney David S Weinstein, a partner at the Miami office of Jones Walker LLP.
Trump has not been charged with any crimes. And he has repeatedly denied wrongdoing, both personally and in dealings with his business. His lawyer did not respond to requests for comment. A request for comment via his website was automatically replied to: “Thank you for your question. Our staff are currently reviewing your request.”
But the exact impact on Trump’s political future is unclear. Political science experts say legal action against Trump may not pose a problem. Even if he was found guilty But his loyalists may cling to him.
The most threatening legal investigation This involves the likelihood of jail time either for Trump or his colleagues. If such action is carried out and leads to a conviction Not related to his presidency duties.
The Washington Post reported on May 25 that Manhattan prosecutors had convened a grand jury meeting. “It is expected to decide whether to sue Donald Trump, other executives. in his company or the business itself If the prosecutor presents a criminal charge against the judicial panel.”
This development suggests a Manhattan prosecutor’s investigation into Trump and his business concerns has entered into “Advanced procedure” after more than two years of operation. Moreover It indicates that Manhattan prosecutors believe they have uncovered evidence of the crime. Possible evidence of this could be against Trump. Company executives or his business
This inquiry is broad. which involved Trump’s business dealings prior to the presidency. The investigation is exploring whether some of the real estate values in his firm’s portfolio have been manipulated in a way that deceives insurance companies and banks. The investigation is also trying to determine whether questionable property valuations might result in illegal tax breaks, according to the Washington Post.
The Manhattan District Attorney’s Office declined to comment.
Meanwhile, New York’s attorney general has expedited the investigation. “We have informed the Trump Organization that our investigations into the organization are no longer of a civil nature. Associated with the Attorney’s Office in Manhattan We have no further comment at this time,” an office spokesman said in an email to The Guardian.
Fani Willis, district attorney for Fulton County, Georgia, said in February it planned to investigate Trump’s call to the Georgia Secretary of State, where he urged him to “find” enough points to allow him to win. Willis also announced plans to investigate. “Other efforts to influence the 2020 Georgia General Election Administration,” the Post said.
In New York, Trump faces a number of civil lawsuits. Two women accused Trump of sexual harassment Former trainee Summer Zervos and guidance columnist E Jean Carroll has filed a defamation lawsuit against him for his testimony over their allegations. He was also sued by activist Efrain Galicia. accused of being attacked by Trump’s security forces During a protest outside Trump Tower in 2015
Something like tax-related criminal proceedings could support it as Trump could increase his claims of victimization by playing with disgruntled voters who think the system is rigged against them. In addition, experts also said that Some of Trump’s military bases are also interested in his bullying and bullying behavior.
“Most of the evidence we have on hand says people like Trump don’t care what he does. It just doesn’t matter if he breaks the law or not,” said Francisco I Pedraza, a political scientist at the University of California, Riverside. “He can’t be wrong.”
“We know from a lot of social science research that supporters of Trump are also enrolled at very high levels in the vetted and trusted racial dissatisfaction index. that responds to the taste of that politics,” Pedraza said. As long as he remains a champion for racism. [sentiments]”
However, many experts say Trump may lose some support If the allegations offend an economically disadvantaged person in his base – if he cheats on the notorious little guy, for example, someone who feels cheating systems might turn him on.
Samuel Popkin, research professor at the University of California, San Diego, and author of Crackup: The Republican Implosion and the Future of Presidential Politics, said: “If he’s nailed to something complex and hard to decipher, it’s not going to happen.” and it looks like a tax too high and everyone is drunk ‘I’m just another businessman trying to [give] The government does more than they deserve.’ It won’t hurt him.
“If there is a conviction that has to be dealt with in real theft. Stealing and defrauding people, like doing business with Trump University, but more broadly, it could hurt him.”
“It depends on what the charges are.”
Susan McManus, professor emeritus of political science at the University of South Florida. Similarly said “If it’s about taxes People will see it as less of a big deal” compared to more serious things like safety.
However, MacManus said that “convictions for any type of crime can certainly influence” a number of Republicans.
“The question is when you start looking at the edge of the base. And you start looking for independent voters. It’s not a Republican,” said Thomas Patterson, a professor at Harvard Kennedy School, with the group. Legal action may lead to “Possibility of erosion” in support of Trump
Neither Trump, his employees Or will the company be prosecuted? All of this is guaranteed to result in unprecedented interest and controversy. which was exacerbated by the former president’s notorious stubbornness.
A New York court told the Guardian that the frenzy would make the Harvey Weinstein case “look like someone with a practice wheel.”
“I can imagine what a circus it would be,” said an insider.