We’ve been fighting this question on this site for a few weeks now.NBC offers three theories in the clip below.
One: Maybe states with fewer cases are doing fewer tests. Essentially, they believe the decline across the South is an illusion that COVID could be just as bad as there in the Northeast. But no one understands because they haven’t tested enough people to find out. It’s true that the southern states have tested fewer and larger than the northern states. But Louisiana was ranked 15th out of 50 states in per capita testing and found months of decline in cases. Even in states with limited testing, the positive rate should provide clues as to whether cases will increase or decrease. And in Texas, California and Arizona to give just three examples, the rate of optimism is a way to avoid winter peaks.
An acid test is hospitalization. If there is a real increase in the number of cases in the population, that will ultimately result in hospitalization. There is, in Michigan, the most severely affected state in the union. But in Texas, hospitalizations continued to decline nearly a month after the mask and business limitations were lifted. Not an illusion The case really is there.
Two: There may be more natural immunity in states that use fewer restrictions, making it more difficult for the virus to spread late in the epidemic compared to the ease of spread in the prologic state. The logic behind the theory is interesting: An open state facilitated more socialization by residents and more socialization, likely to mean that the virus was more widespread and thus made the majority of the population. Infectious Yesterday, I pointed out that Michigan was in the top 10 among US states for per capita COVID-19, indicating that few people were infected until recently. That means there is less natural immunity, which means more waves are now set on fire. In Texas, which is less restrictive, that might not be the case.
But there are wrinkles in that theory. Texas and California may have more patients per capita than Michigan. But there are far fewer cases than New York and New Jersey, both of which have seen cases. Get up Recently (although not what Michigan has), if you want to compare the deaths per capita as a measure of the number of infections a particular state has seen, note that New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts include: In the top three among US states, while Texas is 24 and California is 31, Michigan is 21 – Higher More than the latter two states The deaths are not a perfect apples-to-apples comparison between states, as some states. (New York and NJ) There were “urgent” deaths at the start of the epidemic, when hospitalization for COVID was traditional, while others saw more hospitalization. When doctors can save people’s lives better But even with the blocking of their position But it’s hard to look at what the Northeast has been through and think it needs to have less natural immunity than the South.
Third: Maybe college students from the north will go down south to stop spring, infect them there, and bring the virus home, uh, okay – but students in the south are also on vacation. Will they not spread the virus in their own homeland after they return? And will business owners not serve clients who are temporarily suspended, infected and spread the virus in their local communities? I don’t know why there is an inequality between an epidemic in a lockdown state and an anti-lockout state as more young people travel.
I stick to my bastard theory to explain why the blocking state is worse than anti-blocking: the California weather is a professional state to take off. But their case has been in vain since late January. Yesterday, they recorded just 2,402 nationwide, making them the ninth out of 50 states, even though they are the most populous. And California’s worst is in winter, when it has to endure devastating outbreaks, although there are still many restrictions, I think, that the warmer weather makes more people out and about. The simplest for geographic variance in this case. To the extent that easing restrictions encourages more people to go out can be helpful in driving cases. But weather may play a bigger role.
Some states with stricter regulations now find an increase in COVID-19 infections, while others rushing to reopen are experiencing a significant decline. The numbers have experts scratching their heads, @SamBrockNBC has details pic.twitter.com/2uTTgb3dxG
– TODAY (@TODAYshow) April 8, 2021